W7_Doyin_Why EPC for Mega Projects in the Oil and Gas
1.
Problem Recognition, Definition and Evaluation:
Engineering Procurement and Construction (EPC)
Project is a method of construction contracts also known as Design and Build. The
future of Mega Projects in Oil and Gas industry is EPC. This blog is comparing
EPC with other types of contracts in the Oil and Gas industry.
2. Development
of Feasible Alternatives
Lump Sum Contract:
Unit Price
Cost Plus
Design and Build.
3.
Development of the outcomes and cash flows for each alternative:
These
alternatives will be considered
based on the following attributes
· Scope
Definition: · Technical
Performance
· Contract
Improvement · Risk
· Loss ·
Cost
· Time
·
Gains
4. Selection
of Criteria
Table 1.
Alternatives
Attribute
|
Lump
Sum Contract
|
Unit
Price
|
Cost
Plus
|
Design
and Build
|
Scope Definition
|
Very Good
|
Good
|
Poor
|
Good
|
Risk Exposure
|
Significant
|
Minimal
|
Significant
|
minimal
|
Cost
|
Stable
|
Saves 15% of Actual cost
|
Increment
|
satisfactory
|
Time
|
10% reduction
|
40% reduction
|
20% reduction
|
0% reduction
|
Technical Performance
|
Low
|
Low
|
High
|
Very high
|
Contract Improvement
|
Fair
|
Insignificant
|
Significant
|
Significant
|
Gains
|
12%
|
25%
|
20%
|
40%
|
Losses
|
3%
|
0%
|
2%
|
0%
|
The important
attribute are scope definition, Time and Cost reduction
All these
attributes are very important.
5. Analysis and
comparison of the alternatives: This is done by using non-compensatory model called Satisficing to evaluate each
alternative.
Table 2- Feasible Range.
Attribute
|
Minimum
|
Maximum
|
Scope Definition
|
50%
|
100%
|
Risk Exposure
|
1%
|
5%
|
Cost
|
10%Reduction
|
20% Reduction
|
Time
|
10% Reduction
|
40% Reduction
|
Gains
|
10%
|
Unlimited
|
Losses
|
0
|
10% 0f Profit
|
Technical Performance
|
5%
|
10%
|
Contract Improvement
|
2%
|
7%
|
Comparing
table 1 with the Acceptable Standards, Lump sum Contract and Design and Build (EPC) are the two
most feasible alternatives
Table 3
Non Dimensional Scaling
Attribute
|
Lump Sum Contract
|
Unit Price
|
Cost Plus
|
Design and Build
|
Scope Definition
|
1
|
0.25
|
0
|
0.5
|
Risk Exposure
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
Cost
|
0
|
1
|
0.333
|
0.667
|
Time
|
0.25
|
1
|
0.5
|
0
|
Technical Performance
|
0
|
0
|
0.286
|
1
|
Contract Improvement
|
0.4
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
Gains
|
0%
|
46%
|
29%
|
100%
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses
|
100%
|
0%
|
67%
|
0%
|
Total
|
3.65
|
2.714
|
4.072
|
4.167 Best
|
6. Selection
of the preferred alternative
The best
Alternative is Design and Build (EPC) This type of contract is flexible, making
room for proper scope definition thereby minimizing cost overruns and time of
completion.
7. Performance
Monitoring.
With a well defined scope, the time of
completion, and actual cost will be bench marked with budgeted cost and schedule.
8. References
1. Sullivan,W.G, Wicks,E.M, & Koelling, C.P (2012).
Engineering Economy (15th edition.)(Chapter 14) New Jersey, NJ. Pearson Higher
Education, Inc. (pp 576 & 582)
2.
Giammalvo, P.D (2012, October 22). Integrated portfolio (asset), program
(operations) and project management methodology course (Power Point slides) (An
AACE methodology course). Day 5 (pp 73-91) Lagos. Nigeria.
Excellent, Doyin!!! Good work.......!!!
ReplyDeleteLet's push to get your paper wrapped up shortly.... Time is running short and we need to move beyond the paper and start to get you ready to pass the exams.....
Which means you need to finish up working out of Engineering Economy and start to put more efforts into Humphrey's.....
BR,
Dr. PDG, Jakarta