Thursday, January 3, 2013

W7_Doyin_Why EPC for Mega Projects in the Oil and Gas



W7_Doyin_Why EPC for Mega Projects in the Oil and Gas

1. Problem Recognition, Definition and Evaluation:
 Engineering Procurement and Construction (EPC) Project is a method of construction contracts also known as Design and Build. The future of Mega Projects in Oil and Gas industry is EPC. This blog is comparing EPC with other types of contracts in the Oil and Gas  industry.

2.       Development of Feasible Alternatives
Lump Sum Contract:  
Unit Price
Cost Plus
Design and Build.

3.       Development of the outcomes and cash flows for each alternative
These alternatives will be considered based on the following attributes
·         Scope Definition:                             ·         Technical Performance
·         Contract Improvement                    ·         Risk
·         Loss                                               ·      Cost
·         Time                                            
·         Gains

4.       Selection of Criteria

Table 1. Alternatives

Attribute
Lump Sum Contract
Unit Price
Cost Plus
Design and Build
Scope Definition
Very Good
Good
Poor
Good
Risk Exposure
Significant
Minimal
Significant
minimal
Cost
Stable
Saves 15% of Actual cost
Increment
satisfactory
Time
10% reduction
40% reduction
20% reduction
0% reduction
Technical Performance
Low
Low
 High
Very high
Contract Improvement
Fair
Insignificant
Significant
Significant
Gains
12%
25%
20%
40%
Losses
3%
0%
2%
0%

The important attribute are scope definition, Time and Cost reduction
All these attributes are very important.

5.  Analysis and comparison of the alternatives: This is done by using non-compensatory model called Satisficing to evaluate each alternative.

Table 2- Feasible Range.
Attribute
Minimum
Maximum
Scope Definition
50%
100%
Risk Exposure
1%
5%
Cost
10%Reduction
20% Reduction
Time
10% Reduction
40% Reduction
Gains
10%
Unlimited
Losses
0
10% 0f Profit
Technical Performance
5%
10%
Contract Improvement
2%
7%

Comparing table 1 with the Acceptable Standards, Lump sum Contract and Design and Build (EPC) are the two most feasible alternatives


Table 3  Non Dimensional Scaling
Attribute
Lump Sum Contract
Unit Price
Cost Plus
Design and Build
Scope Definition
1
0.25
0
0.5
Risk Exposure
1
0
1
0
Cost
0
1
0.333
0.667
Time
0.25
1
0.5
0
Technical Performance
0
0
0.286
1
Contract Improvement
0.4
0
1
1
Gains
0%
46%
29%
100%





Losses
100%
0%
67%
0%
Total
3.65
2.714
4.072
4.167 Best
                                                                                                                    
6.      Selection of the preferred alternative
The best Alternative is Design and Build (EPC) This type of contract is flexible, making room for proper scope definition thereby minimizing cost overruns and time of completion.


7.       Performance Monitoring.
      With a well defined scope, the time of completion, and actual cost will be bench marked with budgeted   cost and schedule. 
      
8.       References
1. Sullivan,W.G, Wicks,E.M, & Koelling, C.P (2012). Engineering Economy (15th edition.)(Chapter 14) New Jersey, NJ. Pearson Higher Education, Inc. (pp 576 & 582)

2. Giammalvo, P.D (2012, October 22). Integrated portfolio (asset), program (operations) and project management methodology course (Power Point slides) (An AACE methodology course).  Day 5 (pp 73-91) Lagos.  Nigeria.

, eHow Contributor, Different Types of Construction Contracts . Retrieved from http://www.ehow.com/info_8383873_different-types-construction-contracts

 


1 comment:

  1. Excellent, Doyin!!! Good work.......!!!

    Let's push to get your paper wrapped up shortly.... Time is running short and we need to move beyond the paper and start to get you ready to pass the exams.....

    Which means you need to finish up working out of Engineering Economy and start to put more efforts into Humphrey's.....

    BR,
    Dr. PDG, Jakarta

    ReplyDelete