W5_Doyin_Benchmarking the best Alternatives in Incentive
Contracting against a baseline.
1. Problem
Recognition, Definition and Evaluation:
This is to choose the best three
alternatives in Incentive Contracting and benchmarking them against a baseline
EPCC (Engineering, Procurement, Construct and Commission) a contract type used
in the oil and Gas Industry.
2. Development
of Feasible Alternatives: From Week 4 blog the top three alternatives
· Cost-plus-incentive-fee contracts (C+I)
· Cost-plus-award-fee contracts (C+A)
· Cost/Time plus Incentive/Disincentive (A+B)
Adding
.
Lane Rental Approach (LRA)
. Pure
Incentive/ Disincentive (PI/D)
.
Indefinite Time/ Indefinite Quantity (IT/IQ)
3.
Development of the outcomes and cash flows for each alternative:
These
alternatives will be considered
based on the following attributes
· Scope
Definition:
· Risk
· Cost
· Time
· Technical
Performance
· Contract Improvement
· Gains
· Loss
4. Selection
of Criteria
Table 1. Alternatives
Attribute
|
C+I
|
C+A
|
A+B
|
LRA
|
PI/D
|
IT/IQ
|
Scope Definition
|
Very Good
|
Poor
|
Excellent
|
Good
|
Good
|
Poor
|
Risk Exposure
|
Significant
|
Minimal
|
Minimal
|
Significant
|
Significant
|
Average
|
Cost
|
Satisfactory Reduction
|
Increment
|
Stable
|
Increment
|
Satisfactory
Reduction
|
Save 15% of Actual Cost
|
Time
|
20% reduction
|
10% reduction
|
32% reduction
|
5% reduction
|
15% Reduction
|
40% Reduction
|
Technical Performance
|
High
|
Low
|
Very
High
|
Low
|
High
|
Low
|
Contract Improvement
|
Significant
|
Insignificant
|
Significant
|
Significant
|
Fair
|
Significant
|
Gains
|
5%
|
5%
|
50%
|
10%
|
5%
|
10%
|
Losses
|
2%
|
3%
|
0%
|
2%
|
3%
|
0%
|
The most
important attribute is Time and Cost reduction which is the bane of Project
Management.
5. Analysis
and comparison of the alternatives: This is done by using the non-compensatory
model called Disjunctive Resolution (which
is the model employed earlier for
all other alternative methods) to evaluate each alternative on the best
value achieved for any attribute.
Table 2- Feasible Range.
Attribute
|
Minimum
|
Maximum
|
Scope Definition
|
50%
|
100%
|
Risk Exposure
|
1%
|
5%
|
Cost
|
10%Reduction
|
20% Reduction
|
Time
|
10% Reduction
|
40% Reduction
|
Gains
|
10%
|
Unlimited
|
Losses
|
0
|
10% 0f Profit
|
Technical Performance
|
5%
|
10%
|
Contract Improvement
|
2%
|
7%
|
Comparing
table 1 with the acceptable Standard, Cost Time plus (A+B) and Indefinite Time/ Indefinite Quantity (IT/IQ)
are the two most feasible alternatives.
The Additive Weighty Technique of Compensatory
model is also being used for this analysis in
Table
3 - Additive Weighty Technique
Attribute
|
Step 1
|
Step2:
|
(B)
|
C+I
|
C+A
|
A+B
|
LR
|
PI/D
|
IT/IQ
|
Relative Ranking
|
Normalized Weight (A)
|
||||||||
Scope Definition
|
6
|
6/36=0.17
|
0.5
|
0.085
|
0
|
0.085
|
0.043
|
0.043
|
0
|
Risk Exposure
|
1
|
1/36=0.03
|
1
|
0.03
|
0
|
0
|
0.03
|
0.03
|
0.01
|
Cost
|
7
|
7/36=0.19
|
0.75
|
0.143
|
0.38
|
0.048
|
0.38
|
0.143
|
0.19
|
Time
|
8
|
8/36=0.22
|
0.43
|
0.095
|
0.031
|
0.17
|
0
|
0.064
|
0.22
|
Technical Performance
|
5
|
5/36=0.14
|
0.4
|
0.056
|
0
|
0.14
|
0
|
0.056
|
0
|
Contract Improvement
|
4
|
4/36=0.11
|
1
|
0.11
|
0
|
0.11
|
0.11
|
0.044
|
0.11
|
Gains
|
3
|
3/36=0.08
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0.08
|
0.008
|
0
|
0.008
|
Losses
|
2
|
2/36=0.06
|
60%
|
0.036
|
0.06
|
0
|
0.036
|
0.06
|
0.06
|
Sum
|
36
|
1
|
|
0.555
2nd choice
|
0.471
|
0.633
Best Choice
|
0.607
|
0.481
3rd Choice
|
0.598
|
|
|
6. Selection
of the preferred alternative
The best
Alternatives are
·
Cost
/Time Method (A+B)
·
Lane
Rental
·
Indefinite
Quantity/Indefinite Time
In my studies
and Analysis, LA are usually for Project that includes Lane rental in the bidding
eg road construction that is its application is limited.
IT/IQ ‘s
application is limited to small projects
like maintenance etc.
Therefore they
will not be applicable in EPCC Projects. The applicable Alternatives are
1.
A+B
2. C+I
3. PI/D
7. Performance
Monitoring.
· Time of Completion against the Scheduled time
· Actual
Project cost against the Budgeted Project Cost.
8. References
1. Sullivan,W.G, Wicks,E.M, & Koelling, C.P (2012).
Engineering Economy (15th edition.)(Chapter 14) New Jersey, NJ. Pearson Higher
Education, Inc.
2.
Giammalvo, P.D (2012, October 22). Integrated portfolio (asset), program
(operations) and project management methodology course (Power Point slides) (An
AACE methodology course). Day 5 (pp
73-91) Lagos. Nigeria.
3.
Ellis R, Pyeon J, Herbsman Z, Minchin E, Molenaar K.(July
2007)Evaluation of Alternate Contracting Techniques on FDOT Construction Projects
. Retrieved from: http://www.dot.state.fl.us/researchcenter/Completed_Proj/Summary_CN/FDOT_BDC51_rpt.pdf
4. The Gordian Group (2009) making facility
owners more successful .Retrieved from: http://www.jobordercontract.com/why-joc.php?id=57.
AWESOME again, Doyin!!! Wow!!! I can't wait to see your paper!!!
ReplyDeleteYour citations were also spot on, so it looks like you are in great shape there as well.
Keep up the good work but with the holidays fast approaching, I really would like to see you get in at least one more blog posting this week....
You are taking a big risk working against the late dates rather than trying to stay in between the early and late date curve. (One week behind schedule is fine, but you are now two weeks behind schedule, meaning you have ZERO float....
Give the risk management aspects some thought....
BR,
Dr. PDG, Jakarta