1. Problem
Definition:
Evaluation
Alternative Power Project Using Benefit -Cost Ratio Method.
Continuing from my W_6
Blog on either, using a 50KVA Inverter
or a 60 KVA Electric Gererator to supplement public supply, I am now applying
Benefit - Cost method to confirm my choice of alternative power.
2. Development
of Feasible Alternatives.
The
Two alternatives under consideration to supplyment power supply in my company
are:
·
A
50 KVA Inverter
·
A
60KVA Electric Generator
3. Development
of Outcomes and cash flows for each alternative
For
this endevour, and ease of convenience, the expected return on investment (ROI)
is 15%.
Benefit - Cost Ratio: 50KVA Inverter
Data
Available
Data from W_6
Capex
50KVA Inverter @ $3,000 per inverter
= $ 20,000
30 Inverter Batteries @
$400per Inverter Battery = $ 12,000.
Installation and
Electrical Works
= $ 3,000
$ 35,000
Opex
Annual Maintenance Cost = $
2,000
Benefit Cost Ratio: 60KVA Electric
Generating Set Data
Capex
60KVA
Generating set =
$ 10,000
Installation
Cost =
$ 1,000
$ 11,000
Opex
Annual
Maintenance Cost =
$ 1,040
Annual
Operating Cost =
$ 8,960
$
10,000
Other
Cash flows
Residual Value =
$ 1,700
Using the Benefit-Cost ratio formula
B-C =
____ PW (B)_______
(I
- MV) + PW (O&M)
Where B-C =
Benefit to Cost Ratio
PW(B) = Present Worth of all Benefits
I = Initial Capital Investment
MV = Market Value of Equipment After its Useful Life
PW(O&M) = Present Worth of Operating and
Maintaining the Equipment
Inverter
PW(B)
= Benefit of using a 50 KVA inverter is
a savings of at least 51% in cost of power about ($14,500 * 0.51) $7,395 per
annum
I
= $35,000
MV =
$ 0.00
O&M
= $2,000
7,395 (P/A, 15%, 8)_________________________
35,000 + 2,000 (P/A, 15%,
8)+12,000(P/F,15%,3)+12,000(P/F,15%,6)
___________________7,395*4.4873__________________
= 35,000 + (2,000 * 4.4873) + (12,000*0.6575)
+ (12,000*0.4323)
= 33,183 = 0.58 < 1
57,052
60 KVA Electric Generator
PW(B)
= Estimated decrease of 35% decrease in cost of power supply per annum as a
result of using a new 60 KVA Electric generating set ($14,500 * 0.35) $5,075
I
= $11,000
MV =
$ 1,700
O&M
= $10,000
5,075 (P/A, 15%, 8)_________
= ____5,075 * 4.4873_____
(11,000
- 1,700) + 10,000 (P/A, 13.5%, 8) 9,300 + 10,000 * 4.4873
=
0.42 < 1
4. Analysis
and comparison of alternatives
Both
alternatives are giving a Benefit/Cost ratio of less than 1. This means
that both alternatives are not economically
acceptable at 15%none of the Two alternatives will be able to generate enough
cash flow benefits to off-set both their Capex and Opex during their useful
life.
5. Selection
criteria
·
Best
Return on Investment
6. Selection
of preferred alternative
We
will be selecting the installation of the 50 KVA inverter as this option
enables us to recover more, but not all of our capital and operating
expenditure on this equipment, compared to the purchase and operation of the 60
KVA generator.
We
may be forced to look at other equipments with less capacity. This may result
in the company deliberately going out to purchase energy saving equipments
The
actual cost savings we are able to make will be compared to historical cost of
power expensed in the company's books
References
1.
Sullivan, W., Wicks, E., Koelling, P., Kumar, p., & Kumar,
N. (2012). Engineering economy (15th
edition). England: Pearson Education
Limited. Evaluating Projects with Benefit - Cost Ratio Methods.
2.
Shivey
.G & Galopin M (December 2012) An Overview of Benefit - Cost Analysis
Retrieved
from http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:3TG5izpDZNAJ:www.agecon.purdue.edu/staff/shively/COURSES/AGEC406/reviews/bca.htm+benefit+cost+ratio&cd=4&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=uk
3.
Ord
.T. (2011) Benefit Cost Ratio, mysmp.com
Retrieved from http://www.mysmp.com/fundamental-analysis/benefit-cost-ratio.html
Good job, Rotimi!!!
ReplyDeleteBUT, I would like to challenge you to take your analysis a bit further in another posting.....
What about the INTANGIBLE benefits of not using fossil fuels by choosing the inverter? One of the unique aspects of using the Benefit : Cost method is because it takes into account both the TANGIBLE and INTANGIBLE costs and TANGIBLE and INTANGIBLE benefits.
I see your model covered the TANGIBLE but I don't see any evidence of the INTANGIBLE cost or benefits?
Do a bit more research on this and for a future post, I'd like to see a more complete analysis, which takes into account the intangible benefits of the Inverter and the Intangible costs of the generator.
Start here.........
http://www.mindtools.com/pages/article/newTED_08.htm
http://www.hfrp.org/evaluation/the-evaluation-exchange/issue-archive/methodology-15/at-what-price-benefit-cost-analysis-and-cost-effectiveness-analysis-in-program-evaluation
http://classwebs.spea.indiana.edu/krutilla/v541/Benfit-Cost%20Guide.pdf
FWIW, it is highly likely you will see a Benefit : Cost question on your CCC/E, DRMP or CEP exam, so it would be worth your time and effort to invest more time and effort....
Merry Christmas!!!
BR,
Dr. PDG, Jakarta
And here is another nice Benefit : Cost case study coming from the training and consulting business.....
ReplyDeletehttp://www.scribd.com/doc/17749061/How-to-Conduct-a-CostBenefit-Analysis
Let's make this as real as we possibly can....
BR,
Dr. PDG, Jakarta