Tuesday, December 18, 2012

W6_Rotimi_Alternative Power Supply


1.    Problem Definition:
Source of Power.. The erratic power supply in Nigeria has increased cost of operations for companies operating in Nigeria, accounting for at least 9% of companies operating cost

2.    Development of Feasible Alternatives
·         Invest in Inverters to Supplement National Grid
·         Purchase 60KVA Generating Set to supplement Public
3.    Development of Outcomes and cash flows for each alternative
Cost Layout for  Inverter
50KVA  Inverter @ $20,000 per inverter                       = $ 20,000
30 Inverter Batteries @ $400per Inverter Battery      = $ 12,000.
Installation and Electrical Works                                 = $   3,000
Annual Maintenance Cost                                          =  $   2,000
Total                                                                                $ 37,000
           
Battery to be replaced every 2 years
Inverter Lifespan is 8 Years

Cost Layout 60KVA Generating Set
60KVA Generating set                                                = $ 10,000
Installation Cost                                                           = $   1,000
Annual Maintenance Cost                                           = $   1,040
Annual Operating Cost                                                = $   8,960
Residual Value                                                            = $   1,700
Generator Life span  is 8 years

4.    Analysis and comparison of alternatives
Two tools will be deployed to compare the 2 alternatives.
The tools to be deployed the NET CASH FLOW TABLE and finding the Equivalence
amounts of both CAPEX and OPEX for the two alternatives

Net Cash Flow Table for Alternatives A & B (Time Value of Money Not Considered)

Alternative
A
B


Year
Description
 50 KVA inverter
 60 KVA Generator
Difference
Cumulative Difference
1
Initial Payment
               32,000.00
                     12,000.00
    20,000.00
         20,000.00
Installation cost
                  3,000.00
                       1,000.00
      2,000.00
         22,000.00
Maintenance
                     200.00
                       2,400.00
-     2,200.00
         19,800.00
Annual Operating Cost
                  4,480.00
                       8,960.00
-     4,480.00
         15,320.00
2
Maintenance
                     200.00
                       2,400.00
-     2,200.00
         13,120.00
Annual Operating Cost
                  4,480.00
                       8,960.00
-     4,480.00
           8,640.00
3
Maintenance
                     200.00
                       2,400.00
-     2,200.00
           6,440.00
Annual Operating Cost
                  4,480.00
                       8,960.00
-     4,480.00
           1,960.00
Battery Replacement
               12,000.00

    12,000.00
         13,960.00
4
Maintenance
                     200.00
                       2,400.00
-     2,200.00
         11,760.00
Annual Operating Cost
                  4,480.00
                       8,960.00
-     4,480.00
           7,280.00
5
Maintenance
                     200.00
                       2,400.00
-     2,200.00
           5,080.00
Annual Operating Cost
                  4,480.00
                       8,960.00
-     4,480.00
               600.00
6
Maintenance
                     200.00
                       2,400.00
-     2,200.00
-         1,600.00
Annual Operating Cost
                  4,480.00
                       8,960.00
-     4,480.00
-         6,080.00
Battery Replacement
               12,000.00

    12,000.00
           5,920.00
7
Maintenance
                     200.00
                       2,400.00
-     2,200.00
           3,720.00
Annual Operating Cost
                  4,480.00
                       8,960.00
-     4,480.00
-             760.00
8
Maintenance
                     200.00
                       2,400.00
-     2,200.00
-         2,960.00
Annual Operating Cost
                  4,480.00
                       7,260.00
-     2,780.00
-         5,740.00


Equivalence Table for Alternatives A & B
Year
 Inverter
 Generator
Discount factor @ 13.5%
 PV Inverter
 PV Generator
Difference
Cumulative difference
1
         39,680.00
           24,360.00
1.0000
   39,680.00
  24,360.00
   15,320.00
        15,320.00
2
            4,650.00
           11,360.00
0.8811
     4,096.92
  10,008.81
-   5,911.89
           9,408.11
3
         16,680.00
           11,160.00
0.7763
   12,948.05
    8,663.08
     4,284.97
        13,693.07
4
            4,650.00
           11,360.00
0.6839
     3,180.28
    7,769.46
-   4,589.18
           9,103.89
5
            4,650.00
           11,360.00
0.6026
     2,802.01
    6,845.34
-   4,043.33
           5,060.56
6
         16,680.00
           11,160.00
0.5309
     8,855.57
    5,924.95
     2,930.62
           7,991.19
7
            4,650.00
           11,360.00
0.4678
     2,175.09
    5,313.78
-   3,138.68
           4,852.50
8
            4,650.00
           11,360.00
0.4121
     1,916.38
    4,681.74
-   2,765.36
           2,087.14

 Generator Residual Value
-           1,700.00
0.4121

-      700.61
         700.61
           2,787.76

5.    Selection criteria
a)         Reliability
b)         Initial Capital Investment
c)         Operating Cost
d)         Environmental Pollution

6.    Selection of preferred alternative
The Net Cash Flow Table indicates that it would take 6 years for the extra investments in Alternative A to generate enough savings to justify its higher investment amount and at the end of the life of Alternative A, we would have saved a total of $5,740
The Equivalence table shows that by choosing Alternative A, we would be spending $2,787.76 more today than choosing Alternative B.
These contrasting results raises the problem of the alternative to choose. As the use of the equivalence table takes cognizance of the time vale of money, we will have to choose this table for guidance.
Our decision will now be based on the effect of each alternative on the environment.
As Alternative A is more friendly to the environment ( Less air pollution and noise pollution), compared to Alternative B, Alternative A is selected.
The company will go ahead with the purchase and installation of a 50KVA inverter to complement public supply.
7.    Performance Measurement and Post Evaluation Results
The actual cost savings we are able to make will be compared to historical cost of power expended in the company's books in previous years

References
1.    Sullivan, W., Wicks, E., Koelling, P., Kumar, p., & Kumar, N. (2012). Engineering economy (15th edition). England: Pearson Education Limited. The Time Value of Money
2.    Head .A. (Octoberl 2010) Acca Student Accountant. Advanced Investment Appraisal  Retrieved from http://www.accaglobal.com/content/dam/acca/global/PDF-students/2012/advancedInvest.pdfstudents/2012/sa_apr08_head.pdf
3.    Investment Appraisal (2012). The Times 100 Business Case Studies
Retrieved from http://businesscasestudies.co.uk/business-theory/finance/investment-appraisal.

1 comment:

  1. Excellent, Rotimi!!!! I loved your case study and your assessment was really great...... BUT......

    When you added the element of which was more environmental friendly, then aren't you using Multi-Attribute Decision Making? Where you are combining traditional financial analysis as well as subjective attributes?

    Another tool/technique you could have chosen would be a benefit : cost analysis. Especially for the Lonadek Training center, trying to decide which power supply to use is a PERFECT example of where benefit : cost analysis (or multi-attribute decision making) could also be used with the financial analysis above forming PART, but not ALL of the decision making process.

    Bottom line- great case study with a lot more potential for future postings.

    BR,
    Dr. PDG, Jakarta

    ReplyDelete