Monday, November 26, 2012

W6.1_LUCKY_Business case for the establishment of an office in Warri


W6.1_LUCKY_Business case for the establishment of an office in Warri

Problem or Opportunity Statement

I have been asked to develop a business case for the establishment of an office in Warri due to increased demand for more products by customers in the area, and the need to reduce the cost of the sales and service delivery process.

Feasible Alternatives

The feasible alternatives available to address the need for the office establishment are as follows:

 

o   Build own facility comprising offices, workshop and warehouse

 

o   Rent an office space (x3), warehouse and share workshop facility at LAMESCO located at Deco road inside Warri.

 

o   Rent an office, workshop and warehouse at a different location – catering company facility, Ogunu, Warri.

 

o   Rent office space, workshop and warehouse at CISCON Yard located opposite Chevron office on the NPA Express way, Warri.

 

Outcomes for each alternative

TABLE 1: Office Establishment Opportunity

                                    Alternatives (Offers and Locations)

Attribute
Build own facility
Rent space at LAMESCO
Rent space at catering firm yard
Rent space at CISCON yard
Cost of Rent per annum(MM)
$2.5
$0.03
$0.04
$0.08
Accessibility from major roads
(1-10, 10 being highest)
5
3
6
8
Time until completion
(years)
3
0.3
0.42
0.17
Location (area)
(Excellent, Good, Fair)
Good
Poor
Fair
Excellent
Nearness to pipeline gas supply
(Excellent, Good, Fair)
Fair
Poor
Good
Excellent
Available Facilities
(Excellent, Good, Fair)
Excellent
Poor
Fair
Good

 

Selection of the acceptable criteria:

Using the Multiattribute Decision Analysis additive weighting technique [1] (Sullivan et al, 2012, p. 585)

There will be 6(5)/2 =15 pair wise comparisons necessary for the four office alternatives and they are shown in table 2.

TABLE 2: Ordinal Ranking of Office Establishment Attributes

A.    Results of Paired Comparison

Cost>Accessibility                              (Cost is more important than accessibility)

Cost >Time                                         (Time is more important than cost)

Cost>Location                                                (Location is more important than cost)

Cost>Pipeline Gas                              (Pipeline gas is more important than cost)

Cost >Facilities                                   (Facilities is more important than cost)

Accessibility>Time                             (Accessibility is more important than time)

Accessibility>Location                       (Accessibility is more important than location)

Accessibility>Pipeline gas                  (Pipeline gas is more important than accessibility)

Accessibility>Facilities                       (Facilities is more important than accessibility)

Time>Location                                    (Time is more important than location)

Time>Pipeline gas                               (Pipeline gas is more important than time)

Time>Facilities                                    (Facilities is more important than time)

Location>Pipeline gas                         (Pipeline gas is more important than pipeline gas)

Location>Facilities                             (Facilities is more important than location)

Pipeline gas>Facilities             (Facilities is more important than pipeline gas)

 

 

 

B.     Attribute                                             Number of times on left of >(=Ordinal ranking)

Cost                                                     1

Accessibility                                        2

Time                                                    2

Location                                              1

Pipeline Gas                                        4

Facilities                                              5

 

TABLE 3: Office Establishment Attribute Weight

Attribute
Ordinal Ranking
Weight
Cost
1
0.067
Accessibility
2
0.13
Time
2
0.13
Location
1
0.067
Pipeline gas
4
0.27
Facilities
5
0.33
Total
15
1.00

 

 

The following formulae were used in converting the original data in table 1 for a particular attribute to its dimensionless ratingi (Sullivan et al, 2012, p. 589):

For large numerical values that are considered undesirable

Rating = (Worst outcome – Outcome being made dimensionless)/ (Worst outcome –Best outcome) --(1)       

For large numerical values that are considered desirable

Rating = (Outcome being made dimensionless –Worst outcome)/ (Best outcome – Worst outcome) --(2)       

            

TABLE 4: Dimensionless Values for Office Establishment Opportunity

Attribute
Value
Rating Procedure
Dimensionless Value
Cost
0.03
0.04
0.08
2.5
(2.5 – cost)/2.47
 
1.00
1.00
0.98
0.00
Accessibility
3
5
6
8
(Access -3)/5
0.00
0.40
0.60
1.00
Time
0.17
0.3
0.42
3
(3-Time)/2.83
1.00
0.95
0.91
0.00
Location
Poor
Fair
Good
Excellent
(Relative Rank -1)/3
0.00
0.33
0.67
1.00
Pipeline gas
Poor
Fair
Good
Excellent
(Relative Rank -1)/3
0.00
0.33
0.67
1.00
Facilities
Poor
Fair
Good
Excellent
(Relative Rank -1)/3
0.00
0.33
0.67
1.00

Relative ranking – Poor -1, Fair – 2, Good – 3, Excellent - 4

 

Selected Alternative:

TABLE 5: Weighted Scores for Office Establishment Opportunity

 
Build own facility
Rent space at LAMESCO
Rent space at catering firm yard
Rent space at CISCON yard
Attribute
Weights
Performance
Weight value
Performance
Weight value
Performance
Weight value
Performance
Weight value
Cost of Rent per annum(MM)
0.067
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.067
1.00
0.067
0.98
0.066
Accessibility from major roads
(1-10, 10 being highest)
0.13
 
 
0.40
0.052
0.00
0.00
0.60
0.078
1.00
0.13
Time until completion
(years)
0.13
0.00
0.00
0.95
0.12
0.91
0.12
1.00
0.13
Location (area)
(Excellent, Good, Fair)
0.067
0.67
0.045
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.022
1.00
0.067
Nearness to pipeline gas supply
(Excellent, Good, Fair)
0.27
0.33
0.089
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.18
1.00
0.27
Available Facilities
(Excellent, Good, Fair)
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.11
0.67
0.22
TOTAL Score
 
 
0.52
 
0.19
 
0.58
 
0.88

 

Conclusion

Examining table 5, and considering the scaling and weights used, the decision would be to open an office in Warri through renting an office space at CISCON yard as it has the highest total score of 0.88.

 

 

 

Reference

1.      Sullivan, W., Wicks, E., Koelling, P., Kumar, p., & Kumar, N. (2012). Engineering economy (15th edition). England: Pearson Education Limited.

2.      Purdue OWL APA style, (2011). APA formatting and style guide. Retrieved from http://owl.english.purdue.edu/owl/resource/560/19/

3.      Giammalvo, P. (2012, October 22). Integrated portfolio (asset), program (operations) and project management methodology course (cost engineering) slides (An AACE methodology course). Lagos, Nigeria: Lonadek

 



[1] Sullivan, W., Wicks, E., Koelling, P., Kumar, p., & Kumar, N. (2012). Engineering economy (15th edition). England: Pearson Education Limited.
 
 

1 comment:

  1. Oh Lucky......... You did so well, but where is Step 7?

    You made a decision but how do you know if it was a GOOD one or not?

    I will accept this, but next time, unless you follow the step by step model EXACTLY as in the template I provided to you, I will reject your posting. Very important that you learn how to follow this step by step process EXACTLY, including step 7.

    BR,
    Dr. PDG, Doha, Qatar

    ReplyDelete